Russia ports war risk cover surges to ‘staggering’ levels
One vessel charged double-digit premium, say brokers
Ukraine conflict sparks sharp reduction in number of vessels trading to Black Sea/Sea of Azov region, which lowers premium base over which risk can be spread
ONE vessel has been charged an additional premium of 10% of hull value for war risk cover for a call to a southern Russian port, according to separate war risk underwriters.
The rate — which reflects the danger posed by hostilities ensuing from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — was described as “staggering” by one leading broker. Some sector veterans suggest it may represent a record high.
However, the quote appears to be an outlier, with cover in most cases available in the 1% to 5% range and thus in line with past precedent, market sources emphasised.
That is still remarkably high by most standards.
For instance, a lesser period of heightened tension following the seizure of British-registered Stena Impero (IMO: 9797400) by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in 2019 took APs to 0.8%, which was widely condemned at the time as excessive.
One potential justification for double-digit pricing is that the current conflict has sparked a sharp reduction in the number of vessels trading to the Black Sea/Sea of Azov region, which lowers the premium base over which the risk can be spread.
Underwriters will also be mindful that there have already been casualties, including the death of a third engineer on a Bangladeshi bulker off Odessa earlier this month and the sinking of a Panama-flag general cargoship after it was shelled that same day.
The extent of their jitters is evidenced by reports that some marine insurers are getting cold feet over perceived possibility of contravening sanctions, and are refusing to quote at all.
Even where cover can still be had, the premiums now being charged equate to six- or even seven-figure hits for every single voyage, depending on the value of the hull, which will come as a heavy burden for many owners.
A senior Lloyd’s underwriter with decades of experience confirmed by email that not much volume is going into Ukraine, where ports remain closed by order of the country’s maritime authorities, after explicit Russian threats to attack merchant shipping.
“Vessels stuck are purchasing cover or not at their own choice,” they told Lloyd’s List. “Rates now up to 10% in worst areas. I’ve never seen rates over 5%. In the first Gulf War, tankers regularly called into [the Saudi port of] Ras Tanura at much lower rates. But the volume of calls allowed for a better spread of risk.”
One Nordic-based underwriter said that he had also heard this week of a ship been charged 10%, but he did not know the reasoning behind the quote. However, it marked the first double-digit premium he had ever heard of, again in a long career.
“The Iran-Iraq war, the tanker war, is the last time we saw rates around 5%. If you don’t have another rate, it’s 0.015%.”
Marcus Baker, global head of marine and cargo at major broker Marsh, said of the 10% premium: “That figure is staggering.”
Marsh’s feedback is that pricing is generally in the 1% to 5% bracket, depending on market, where it is available.
“Some markets have deemed it too much of a risk to take on the breach cover, so are turning it down.
“As a broker, we are resisting that, as we just don’t think it’s appropriate to leave somebody in the lurch.
“War risk rates are probably the least of the challenges shipowners face.”
Another scenario would be a vessel damaging port infrastructure such as a crane, only to find that the P&I club were unable to pay a guarantee on account of financial sanctions against Russia. That could leave the ship subject to arrest.
“We’re all banging on about the war rates, which has that cachet of the 1970s, when Lloyd’s was open on a Saturday morning dealing with the oil crisis. But there are bigger issues from an insurance perspective that we should be talking about.”
Meanwhile, the Joint War Committee, which represents both the Lloyd’s and London companies market, has extended the geographical scope of ‘listed areas’ that are subject to APs.
The decision takes in inland waters and parts of the high seas that were previously not listed, including waters close to Romania and Georgia, and the inland waters of Belarus.
The UK-based Warlike Operations Area Committee has declared a Warlike Operations Area with immediate effect for all Ukrainian, Russian and international waters north of 44°North in the Black Sea.
In consequence of the decision, shipowners are asked to give seafarers the option the option to disembark prior to entering the area, or to receive increased pay if they agree to serve, and to insure their individual risks.